Stuttgart share 16th place in the table with Schalke over 24 match days, ahead of them in additional indicators.
If we do not take into account Bayern’s extra-time (1:2), where initially the chances of success were small, then the only deserved defeat of the Swabians was the one in Freiburg (1:2). In the remaining three games out of five, they outperformed their rivals in terms of expected goals scored.
Under the new coach, Stuttgart are playing with a pragmatic style and are compact and consistent on the pitch. For example, in the final round he allowed Eintracht (1:1) to create only 0.7 xg.
Wolfsburg under Niko Kovac are also trying to play for points, but lately it has not always been successful. Wolves lost the stability they had in the first half of the season. In the last 5 rounds, they drew three times and only Cologne could win (2:0). One of the reasons is the rapid decline in the physical condition of young players.
Wolfsburg averages 1.37xg per game with 1.43xg allowed. It is worth noting that in away matches the team tries to play more carefully in defence, as evidenced by only 37.5% of goals conceded away.
Stuttgart are in good form and can take advantage of the imbalance of Wolfsburg, who are third from bottom in the league in terms of awarded threat (xT = 1.53).