Since the Australian Open, Maxime Cressy has played three matches in Europe. In Montpellier Cressy reached the final where he lost to Yannick Sinner, the 13th racket in the world. In Rotterdam and Marseille, the American played two matches each, losing to De Minaur and Bonzi. Cressy has a very strong serve, as does Auger-Aliassime, but Maxim is not as strong on the court, so he is still barely in the top 40 of the world rankings. It is also worth noting that the open hard service is still less important than the arena, so you need to be careful when betting on an American in Dubai. For Cressa, the upcoming match will be the first in Arabia, Maxim will surely need time to adapt.

Felix played only one indura in Rotterdam and after losing to Medvedev, the Canadian went to the Arabian Peninsula, where he played three matches. In Doha, Auger-Aliassime turned out to be stronger than Kubler and Davidovich Fokin, lost, as in Rotterdam, to Daniil and again in two matches. In Qatar, at least in the match with Medvedev, Feliks had service problems, which was the main reason for the defeat in two sets, although the match definitely cannot be called fleeting, and Medvedev’s victory is easy, in the second set the boys played a tie-break. Auger-Aliassime stats in this match: 5/5 aces/doubles, 76%/44% first serve points, 23%/44% return points.

Tennis player Rating Total number of matches in 2023 wins failures
Maxim Cressy 36 12 7 5
Auger Allassime 9 eleven 8 3

Cressy and Auger-Aliassime have only played each other once, in June 2022 at Wimbledon. In the round of 16, Cressy defeated Auger-Aliassime in 4 sets. This match was remembered for three tie-breaks.

Auger-Aliassime is the logical favourite, despite the Canadian’s defeat in the Wimbledon matchup. Let’s explain why we think so. First, Cressy is strong with a powerful jump, which affected their personal results at Wimbledon. Dubai doesn’t have a court as fast as London or Induras (often), so the strong serve factor, although important, is somewhat balanced. Secondly, Cressy flew to the UAE from Europe where he played three tournaments, Maxim has not yet played in Arabia, i.e. he needs time to adapt. Felix, on the other hand, has spent three matches in Doha and has already become accustomed to the local climate and time zone. And third, motivation. We doubt that the Canadian will forget this loss at Wimbledon, or even in the first round, and will try to get revenge. We are waiting for the Canadian to win in a prolonged game.

Main prediction is Auger-Aliassime win with handicap (-2.5) at 1.81