Indium. Fakel total over 1.5

The “Torch” can’t rise above the playoff zone for most of the season. After 23 rounds, Dmitry Pyatibratov’s team ranked 14th in the table, 7 points behind the 12th place saver. In terms of the expected number of goals scored (xg = 1.04) and conceded (xga = 1.55), it ranks in the top five of the RPL.

In the spring part of the championship, the “madmen” could only beat Sochi (3:0), losing in three of the remaining 5 duels for most of the match.

Orenburg plays open, dynamic football with an emphasis on attack. In terms of expected goals scored (xg = 1.72), it is second only to Zenit, Spartak and CSKA. However, the Citizens pay for it with the third-best defense in the league (xga = 1.74).

After the resumption of the season, Marcel Lichka’s team scored 8 points in 6 rounds, and the lack of tournament motivation led to unpredictable results. A distinctive feature of the club is a bright game on its pitch. In away games, Orenburg scored only 21% of their points and conceded 64% of goals.

For example, in the debut match of the spring part of the championship with the same Achmat (1:3), the team suffered a disastrous defeat on the road, losing in xg (0.9:2.8).

I suspect that Orenburg will give another weak away match that Fakel will be able to take advantage of.