Total over 2.5

Christian Streich’s Freiburg is famous for its sticky and tight game in the middle third of the pitch, which is due, among other things, to the highest defense line in the league (47.2 meters).

Thanks to the successful implementation of their playing model, the Brazilians from Breisgau claim that they will be promoted to the Champions League zone at the end of the season. After 25 rounds, they are in 4th place in the table, and they are only 1 point away from the nearest chaser, Leipzig.

Freiburg generates an average of 1.44xg per game, with 1.35xg allowed. In the next match, the main central defender Linhart is in doubt. In addition, second shooter Gregory (8+6) is serving a disqualification.

Hertha have a good defense that is comparable to Eintracht and Mainz, but suffers from a lack of creativity in attack. According to the predicted created threat (xT = 1.16), the “old lady” ranks last in the league.

In the last 5 matches, they only managed to beat Augsburg (2:0), but without her goal the team did not leave the field in any of these matches.

The participation of the leading central defender Mark-Oliver Kempf in the next meeting is doubtful, the absence of which will seriously weaken the quality of the defense.

Hertha’s low blocking counter-attacking style is offset by Freiburg’s strong midfield that can be overcome with long passes. I assume that the high backline of the hosts and the alleged lack of key defenders will lead to a productive match, similar to the first round.