Barcelona will try to dispel any suspicions about Real Madrid’s possible return to the title fight in this match. Blue Garnet are 9 points ahead of their current opponent and have a 93% chance (according to Opta) of finishing 1st this season.
Barca is not sprayed on international matches and is fully focused on domestic tournaments. This gives the team a slight advantage in terms of freshness. According to the expected number of goals scored (xg = 1.99) and conceded (xga = 0.81), the team ranks 2nd and 1st respectively.
Real Madrid will be trying to get revenge on their main rival for their recent elimination from the Copa del Rey in the semi-finals. However, the participation of the “cream” in the Champions League may affect the result. Four days before El Clasico, they played against Liverpool (1:0), so their physical form is unlikely to be perfect.
In terms of expected created (xT = 1.62) and accepted (xTA = 1.1), Real Madrid is second only to Barcelona.
The last cup match lacked sharp moments and goals, mainly due to personnel problems in the Barcelona attack. Then Pedri (6+0) and Lewandowski (15+5) did not play, now they are ready to help their team. I expect an emotional, productive match.