Total over 2.5

Werder Bremen play nice, spectacular football with a lot of tension. However, over-engagement in attacking play is costly for defensive “musicians”. In terms of expected goals conceded (xga = 1.6) they are in the top three.

Ole Werner’s team is not in the best shape ahead of the upcoming meeting. In the last 8 rounds, she managed to get only one victory and that was over the outsider Bochum (3:0). However, Werder Bremen still maintain a comfortable 9-point lead above the relegation zone, suggesting more relaxed football.

Freiburg prefers to act more pragmatically and is able to cause many problems to any opponent. He has already proved it in part in the last matches against Bayern. First, Christian Streich’s team eliminated the hegemon from the German Cup in the quarter-finals, defeating him with a score of 2: 1. And then with a minimum score of losing in the championship.

The “Brazilians from Breisgau” are not distinguished by outstanding play, but playing only for the result brings results. After 27 rounds, the club is in 5th place, losing one point to the Champions League zone. At the same time, he generates an average of 1.41xg per match, with 1.44xg allowed.

I think under these circumstances, Ole Werner will experiment more with the composition and try different combinations, which could lead to a productive match.