Indium. Fenerbahce in total over 1.5

Fenerbahce are unlikely to play for the championship this season. The probability of removing Galatasaray from the first row of the table is negligible and amounts to only 19.3% (according to Opta).

Therefore, the “yellow canaries” will try to focus on playing in European cups. In the first leg, Fenerbahçe lost 2-0, but in terms of expected goals they were 0.4 xg better than Sevilla, which gives hope for a remedy.

In the Turkish Super League, Jorge Jesus’ men stand out for their perfect balance. In terms of the expected number of goals scored (xg = 1.81) and conceded (xga = 0.88), they are ranked 2nd.

Sevilla is struggling to survive in the championship. After 25 rounds, the team is 13th in La Liga, two points clear of the relegation zone.

3 days after the match against Fenerbahce, the club is facing a confrontation with its direct rival – Getafe, which may affect the result of the meeting in the Europa League.

On average, the white-and-reds create 1.23 xg per game, with 1.6 xg allowed (4th from bottom).

It is worth noting that Sevilla is the home team, as evidenced by only 35.7% of points scored away from home.

I assume that Fenerbahce will be able to create enough chances to score at least two goals.