Total over 2.5

Mainz has been showing great football lately. He scored points in the last 7 rounds, winning 5 of them. In particular, it turned out to be stronger than Bayer (3:2) and RB Leipzig (3:0). Thanks to this, the “carnivals” reduced the loss to the European Cup zone to 1 point. Separately, it is worth noting the game of the team’s debutant – Ludovic Azhorka, who added a lot of variability in the attack, recorded effective actions in 4 out of the last 5 matches.

According to the predicted threat created (xT = 1.46), Mainz is in the top five of the championship, but lacks defensive stability (xga = 1.42).

Werder, judging by the last 7 matches, have lost their form. They managed to beat only Bochum (3:0) and suffered 5 defeats, conceding at least 2 goals in each of them.

Despite the great attacking game of Niklas Fullkrug (15+5) and Marvin Duksh (8+6), the “musicians” are unable to show the right level of competition in front of their own goal. In terms of expected goals conceded (xga = 1.59), they are 3rd from bottom in the league.

The lack of a positive balance did not allow the club to advance above the 11th line of the table.

Both teams occasionally fail in defense, but make up for it with an excellent attack. I think under these circumstances the match will be productive.