To be honest, we are surprised by three sets in the Alcaraz-Fognini match. They expected the Spaniard to deal with the Italian in straight sets, but they were wrong. Fabio won the first match against Carlos in a tie-break with the score 7:5, the next two sets were won by Alcaraz. In total, the fight lasted two hours and 46 minutes. Throughout the game, Alcaraz threw two aces without double faults, scoring 62% on the first serve and 46% on the second. Acceptance statistics: 44% / 60%. It is worth noting that for Alcaras the match against Fognini was the sixth in 2023, the Spaniard has 100% wins and only two lost sets.

As in Buenos Aires, Lajovic will face Alcaraz in the quarter-finals. In this match, the Serbian managed to win only six matches, we’ll see if the Balkan will win more this time. It is worth noting that for the Serb, the tournament in Rio is already the third uncured tournament of the season, before Buenos Aires Dusan played two matches in Cordoba. In Brazil, Lajovic proved stronger than Argentinian Schwartzman and his compatriot Laszlo Djere, both winning 2-0. The match with Laszlo turned out to be fleeting, lasted one hour and 19 minutes, Dusan won it with the result of 6:2, 6:4. Dusan stats per game: 1/1 aces/doubles, 76%/48% serve points, 41%/63% return points.

Tennis player Rating Total number of matches in 2023 wins failures
Carlos Alcaraz 2 6 5 0
Dusan Lajovic 80 eleven 7 4

Alcaraz and Lajovic have played each other twice, at the Australian Open in 2022 and most recently in Buenos Aires in 2023. The Spaniard won both matches without losing a single set.

After Fognini’s set loss, we believe that Alcaraz will treat their next opponent with a lot of attention and will try not to lose any more games in Rio and generally not lead to tie-breaks where anything is possible. Alcaras knows Lajovic well, he beat the Serbian twice, the second one a week ago in Argentina and very confidently. It is unlikely that anything will change fundamentally in a week, Alcaraz has only gained confidence in his own skills and practice of the game. We believe that Carlos will have a confident win over Dusan on Saturday night.

Main prediction is Alcaraz win + total under (20.5) for 1.80