In Acapulco, Matteo made his first appearance since the Australian Open, where the Italian suffered a loss in the first round to Andy Murray. In Mexico, Berrettini played two matches, in the first round the fight with Molchan was not finished, Alex withdrew with the score 0:6, 0:1. In the second round, Berrettini eliminated Elias Ymer, the world’s 170th rocket, from the draw. The result of the match against the Swede was 6:3, 6:3, the fight lasted one hour and 36 minutes. Berrettini stats in this game: 3/1 aces/double faults, 84%/53% serve stats, 36%/58% tack stats, 27/10 winners/executors.

As expected, Rune easily overcame Borges’ resistance in the 1/8 finals of the tournament in Acapulco. The match lasted less than an hour, during the match the Portuguese won only two matches, losing 0:6, 2:6. Rune stats in this game: 7/1 Aces/Doubles, 81%/60% Service Points, 44%/88% Return Points, 18/7 Winners/Executors. In general, Holger fought a qualitative fight, which is reflected in the Dane’s statistics. In the first round of the tournament in Mexico, the Scandinavian defeated Shelton in three games, and before that he had a string of matches in Montpellier and Rotterdam.

Tennis player Rating Total number of matches in 2023 wins failures
Matteo Berrettini 24 8 5 3
Holger Rune 10 14 10 4

The guys met only once, at the tournament in Indian Wells as part of the 1/32 finals in 2022. The match ended in favor of the Italian 6:3, 4:6, 6:4, the match lasted two hours and 4 minutes.

On the side of Berrettini, victory in a personal encounter. In all other respects, the Scandinavian has the upper hand. Well, judge for yourself. Matteo hosts his first tournament since AO-2023, and Rune has since played Davis Cup in Montpellier and Rotterdam. Matteo’s rivals in Acapulco did not have a single really strong opponent, so the Italian definitely does not cope with training. Well, Holger has clearly improved over the year since the guys played against each other, now Rune is a top 10 ATP player. We believe the match will not be easy for either side and the Dane will ultimately win in three games.

The main prediction is for Rune to win at 1.77