The last time Newcastle were favorites against Mancunians was probably 20 years ago. The current draw was a turning point for the club, which is one of the contenders for a top-four finish at the end of the season and only 3 points adrift of Manchester United. So, in order to get past the opponent, the hosts in this match will have to win. But the personal stats are not on their side: in their previous 16 Premier League matches, Newcastle recorded just 2 wins (as well as 4 draws and 10 defeats), and that too at home, and that was 1-0.
It is possible that Newcastle will be able to win, but only marginally. The team has the best backline in this Premier League draw, having lost only 1 time in 13 games at home (7 wins and 4 draws). But Manchester have one of the worst away defenses, only 3 clubs conceding more.
The visitors will be weakened by the loss of several key players – indeed, the mid lane, the creation. This can be used by the hosts to prevent Manchester from scoring. I expect both teams to put a lot of focus and strength on defense, and we’re looking forward to an ineffective game.