Lazio win or draw + total under 3.5 – yes

AZ Alkmaar has been showing excellent results lately. In the last 5 matchdays, the team won 4, losing only to the leaders Feyenoord (1-2) after a goal conceded in the 90th minute.

Thanks to the 12 points scored during this period, “cheese farms” occupy the 3rd position in the table and are able to push Ajax out of the Champions League zone.

In terms of the number of expected goals scored (xg = 1.58) and conceded (xga = 1.15) goals, AZ Alkmaar ranks in the top five of its league.

Lazio are fighting for the Champions League zone at the end of the season. After 26 rounds in Serie A, the team is 3rd in the table, one point behind Inter in the table.

It is worth noting that the Eagles are in good shape, as evidenced by a series of 4 matches without defeat, including a victory over Napoli (1:0).

The white-blue-blue averages 1.32 xg per game, with 1.1 xg allowed. However, in the upcoming meeting they will feel staff shortages in the attack. Top scorer – Immobile (9+3) will not help the club.

With a difference of 1 goal after the first meeting, I think both teams will try to play carefully in defense, not exposing themselves to excessive risks.