Total below 2.5

Freiburg have another great season in the Bundesliga and even claim a place in the top four. Christian Streich has traditionally made the most out of a relatively modest selection of players. Noteworthy is Michael Gregoric (10+4), who resumed his career and may break his performance record.

The results-oriented style of football has helped Freiburg reach the highest stages of the German Cup every time. For example, in the quarterfinals “Brazilians from Breisgau” sensationally knocked out “Bayern” (2:1).

Leipzig is 2 points behind its rival in the national championship and is lower in the ranking. However, from a gaming point of view, “red bulls” are more preferable. They have an excellent record, with 3rd and 2nd respectively in expected goals scored (xg = 1.77) and conceded (xga = 1.09) goals per game in the league.

It is worth noting that Leipzig is currently in great form of the game. He far surpassed his opponents in xg in the last 4 rounds, even after losing to Bayer (0-2).

I think that the high level of competition and the pragmatic style of play in Freiburg will have a decisive influence on the outcome of this match. I expect careful football with a lot of martial arts in the midfield.