Rayo Vallecano is good at counter-pressing (ppda = 9.5 – 3rd), especially at home, which is the smallest of the top five leagues in Europe.
The size of the home field makes the “bees” act more aggressively in the opponent’s half, as each hit can be decisive.
This style generates an average of 1.32xT assuming 1.23xT (expected threat).
It is worth noting the poor form of Rayo Vallecano. Not a single win with three draws in the last 5 rounds.
Girona have been playing bright and productive this season. The outside viewer will always be able to find many sharp moments in games involving the Girondins. They are in the top five in terms of expected goals scored (xg = 1.35) and in the top five in terms of goals conceded (xga = 1.34). In just one game out of 25, the team was able to keep their goal intact.
In the last 5 rounds, Girona confidently confirmed its reputation as a spectacular team. It turned out to be stronger than Almería (6:2) and Athletic (3:2), but lost to Getafe (2:3), Cadiz (0:2) and Atlético (0:1).
From this match I expect dynamic football and a high sum, like in the match of the first round.