Total more than 2

Rayo Vallecano has found itself in a prolonged gaming slump. Andoni Iraola’s side cannot win 8 games in a row, losing 3 of them. The loss of the form of the game seriously complicates the fight of the “bees” for the European Cup zone, from which the loss increased to 8 points.

It is worth noting that in home games, the team is much more aggressive due to the size of the pitch. This forces the backline to go much higher, which could prove to be a problem in this game due to the suspension of one of the key centre-backs, Florian Lejeune.

On average, Rayo Vallecano generates 1.18 xg per game, with 1.34 xg allowed.

Osasuna gained 1 point more in 28 days of play and placed a line above their current opponent. Hagoba Arrasata’s team achieves its goal by putting together a solid defense (xga = 1.09) and infrequent counterattacks (xg = 1.02). Thanks to the successful implementation of her style, she reached the final of the Copa del Rey for the first time since the 2004-05 season. It is worth noting that the Reds are very uncompromising in away matches. In 14 rounds, they have lost only 4 times, only Barcelona (2) and Atlético (2) have less.

In the upcoming match, most likely the top scorer – Chimi Avila (7+2) will not help the club.

Despite the low offensive potential of both teams, I think the match can be productive. Rayo Vallecano has been too vulnerable to counter-attacks lately, and if they play more aggressively at home, it could lead to a lot of hot moments.