Mainz with difficulties (+1)

RB Leipzig has not been stable lately. The team often loses points and struggles to take chances due to the absence of top scorer Nkunku (12 + 3). Before the break, the Red Bulls suffered a crushing defeat to Manchester City (0-7) in the Champions League Round of 12, and on the last matchday they lost to Bochum (0-1).

In terms of predicted goals scored (xg = 1.81) and conceded (xga = 1.09), the team ranks 3rd and 1st in the league, respectively.

Key midfielder Schlager will be missing in the upcoming match, and Nkunku (12+3) has doubts.

Mainz found their game in the second half of the season. He is approaching the upcoming meeting with a streak of 6 matches without defeat, in which he scored 14 points out of a possible 18. Thanks to this, the team qualified for the European Cup zone, losing only 3 points to it.

It is worth noting the impressive offensive potential of the “carnivals”. According to the predicted threat created (xT = 1.46), they are in the top five in the Bundesliga, but they do not shine with near-target reliability (xTA = 1.4).

There are many more players in Leipzig who have participated in national team matches. In what state they returned remains a mystery, but they often lose the necessary rhythm of the game. I assume that Mainz, which has gained form, will successfully use the staffing problems of the favorite.