Bayer are on an impressive 14-match unbeaten streak, repeating the 2017 record set under Heiko Herrlich. Thanks to this, the “pharmacists” jumped into the European Cup zone and reached the semi-finals of the Europa League. On average, they make 1.54 xg per match, with 1.26 xg allowed. However, Xabi Alonso’s team has seen a dip in form in recent years. “Wolfsburg” (0:0) was only 0.3xg ahead, beat “Leipzig” (2:0) with a score but not xg (1.1:1.9) and in the last round failed to beat “Union Berlin (0: 0) in any indicator.
Cologne is a solid midfielder in the Bundesliga who focuses on solid defense. In terms of the number of expected goals conceded (xga = 1.25), it is second only to Bayern, Leipzig and Union Berlin. After a crushing defeat with Borussia Dortmund (1:6) the “goats” got together and in the last 5 matches they are not inferior to their rivals in xg.
Cologne are approaching the upcoming meeting with two away victories, which proves the good functional condition of the team.
The favorite will most likely have to try to get the maximum number of points in this meeting. I think the visitors will have a chance to draw.