Atlético Madrid win + under 3.5 total – yes

Atlético are successfully solving their task for this season – securing themselves in the Champions League zone. The team scored 51 points in 26 rounds, which gave it 3rd place in the table.

After the winter holidays, “Materac” in 12 matches lost only to “Barcelona” (0:1), and the total unbeaten streak is 10 rounds. One of the elements of success was the excellent form of Morata (10+2) and Griezmann (9+8).

In terms of expected goals scored (xg = 1.51) and goals conceded (xga = 1.05), Atlético are ranked 3rd and 5th respectively in La Liga.

Betis has scored points in the last 6 matchdays, but cannot match the pace of its direct rival in the fight for the Champions League zone. Having a good attack (xg = 1.45) Green & White make too many mistakes in defense (xga = 1.25).

In the upcoming match, the team has a good chance to halve the gap to the strongest quartet, but this will be problematic due to staffing problems. Most likely, the club will not be helped by the best players in terms of contribution to offensive actions – Fekir (2+2) and Canales (4+2).

I suspect that Atlético will easily deal with Betis, and the outcome of the match will be affected by the absence of the most creative attacking players of the visitors.