Atlético Madrid win with handicap (-1.5)
Atlético Madrid win with handicap (-1.5)
Atlético are in great form. Diego Simeone’s team leads the points in the last 10 matchdays and their defense has regained its former confidence. Only Barcelona conceded fewer goals (3) over the allotted distance than Mattresses (4).
In addition, it is worth noting the game in the last period, in which Antoine Griezmann (9+8) is charming, who is spending one of the best seasons in his career. This took the club up to 3rd in the table and reduced the gap to second-placed Real Madrid to 2 points.
In terms of expected goals scored (xg = 1.53) and goals conceded (xga = 1.03), Atlético Madrid ranks 3rd and 5th respectively in La Liga.
“Almeria” this season is much more modest. Over the distance of 28 matches, they scored only 30 points, which puts them on the 16th position in the table. The gap to the relegation zone is just 3 points, which means the whole fight is still ahead of us. In the last match, the “red-white” won an important victory over their direct rival – “Valencia” (2:1), which will give the players self-confidence.
It is worth noting that Almeria is a typical home team. On the road, she managed to score only 4 points out of a possible 30, which is the worst result in the Example. Defense is the club’s biggest problem. In terms of expected goals conceded (xga = 1.69), it ranks in the top three.
I think that Almeria has practically no chance to score in this match. In the first round match, the teams parted with the world (1:1), but Atlético defeated the rival in xg (2.4:1.4).