Napoli dominate Serie A and sit in first place, 16 points clear of second. In terms of expected goals scored (xg = 1.71) and conceded (xga = 0.8), Luciano Spalletti’s team ranks in the top three of the championship.

In the last round against Udinese (1-1) the Azzurri had enough draws to secure an early championship. It is possible that in this match the players will show a decrease in ambition and sports anger, which may affect the result.

Fiorentina have solved all their tasks for the season in Serie A and also do not have a high level of motivation. In the last 5 rounds, they only won once and that was against outsider Sampdoria (5:0).

It is likely that team coach Vincenzo Italiano will rotate in this match to protect the leaders from unnecessary injuries ahead of the Europa League semi-final match with Basel. However, this is unlikely to be a reason to change the philosophy of football to purple. As before, they will prefer open football with a high backline and intense pressing.

In this match I expect a festive atmosphere to honor Napoli and therefore a friendly nature of the game. However, it is unlikely that Napoli would like to lose in such conditions.