Total below 2.5
Total below 2.5
Napoli lead the table with 71 points after 27 matches, 19 more than their closest rivals Inter. The team is in perfect balance, with 2nd and 1st respectively in expected created (xT = 1.72) and granted (xTA = 1.05) threats per match.
In 27 rounds, the Azzurri have lost only 2 times and are confidently heading towards the championship, updating many club records along the way. For example, for the first time in their history, they will take part in the Champions League quarter-final against Milan.
Of course, Milan will no longer be able to defend the Scudetto, all that remains for him is to fight for entry into the Champions League zone. After 27 rounds, it takes 4th place in the table, breaking away from the nearest chaser – Roma by 1 point. Before the international break, the Rossoneri unexpectedly lost to Fiorentina (1:2) and Udinese (1:3), and at the break they lost points to Salernitana (1:1). It is worth noting that before the series of unsuccessful matches, the team recorded 4 clean sheets and seemed to have solved all the problems in defense, but the effect was short-lived.
With the existing problems, Milan still manages well in front of their own goal. It ranks in the top five by predicted tolerable risk (xTA = 1.2). I suspect the match will prove to be a tough one and the loss of tone after the international break will contribute to a low score.