Total over 2.5

To guarantee a place in the Champions League zone, Atlético have only 6 points left in the remaining 6 rounds. Diego Simeone’s men are currently only 2 points away from second-placed Real Madrid, which should give them motivation.

Recently, the “mattress” has been played quite effectively. In 4 games out of 5 they scored at least 2 goals, and in the last matchday against Valladolid (5:2) they made a goal extravaganza. The absence of the main central defender – Savic and not very high tournament motivation became the reason for more open matches.

Cadiz over the course of 32 match days managed to climb to the 14th place in the table and moved 4 points away from the relegation zone in the class. From a gaming point of view, Sergio Gonzalez’s team cannot seriously compete with the “mattress”. In terms of expected goals scored (xg = 1.02) and goals conceded (xga = 1.62) in the example, it ranks in the top four.

The situation is complicated by the fact that the “yellow submarine” will experience a serious shortage of personnel in this meeting. Due to the club’s bust, such basic players as Sobrino, Luis Hernandez and Fede will not help.

I suspect that the hosts will again prefer a more open style of play, which will lead to a productive match against the background of “bleeded” Cadiz.