Total over 3

After a slight decline in February, Arsenal went on a 6-game winning streak to clinch a foothold at the top of the table. In terms of expected goals scored (xg = 1.92) and conceded (xga = 0.96), the Gunners are ranked 2nd and 3rd respectively in the league.

Mikel Arteta instills a combination football in the club, in which Thomas Parti plays the most important role. The key defensive midfielder’s participation in the upcoming match is in doubt. In addition, the main central defender, Saliba, was injured. The simultaneous absence of two key defenders will significantly weaken Arsenal’s defence.

Leeds United are showing a positive pace with the arrival of Javier Gracia as their new head coach. Under his leadership, the “peacocks” played 4 matches, in which they scored 7 points.

Gracia’s teams are known for their excellent organization, cohesion and tenacious defense. However, the Spanish tactician has yet to stabilize the game near his goal.

In 3 matches out of 4, Leeds United lost significantly to their opponent in terms of xg, even with not very productive Wolverhampton, the team allowed 2.7 xg.

Given Arsenal’s defensive losses and Leeds’ inability to play well in front of their own goal, I think the game could be productive.