Lorenzo arrived in Dubai on a three-match losing streak that he started in the third round of the tournament in Montpellier, continued with a loss to Auger-Aliassime in Rotterdam and a loss to Murray in Doha. In the United Arab Emirates, Sonego played one match, he eliminated the Swiss Husler, the 51st racket of the world, from the tournament. The match with Husler lasted an hour and a half, 7:5, 6:3 in favor of Sony. Lorenzo stats in this match: 10/1 aces/double faults, 72%/75% win serves, 26%/59% win returns, 24/11 winners/executors. Overall, the Italian has decent numbers, however, we note that Lorenzo is facing an order of magnitude stronger opponent than the Swiss.

As we expected, the Auger-Aliassime-Cressy match turned out to be a 3-set, and the Canadian won it with the result of 7:6, 3:6, 6:3. The match lasted three hours, Felix hit 13 aces with one double fault, scored 75% on his first serve and 63% on his second. Return statistics: 17%/60%, winners/enforcers 37/13. Note Cressy’s amazing serve stats: 27/25 aces/doubles. Auger-Aliassime had an even and difficult match, it’s obvious that the Canadian in the second round will try not to waste extra strength on Sonego, a fairly convenient opponent for him, because the opponents in front will be an order of magnitude more difficult than the Italian.

Tennis player Rating Total number of matches in 2023 wins failures
Lorenzo Sonego 36 12 7 5
Auger Allassime 9 10 4 6

Sonego and Auger-Aliassime played together twice, in 2020 in Hamburg and in 2023 in Rotterdam. Felix won both matches in straight sets, the last match in the Netherlands lasted only one hour and 24 minutes, 6-2, 6-3 in favor of the Canadian.

We doubt that in the two weeks that have passed since the game in Rotterdam, anything has fundamentally changed in the condition of Sonego and Auger-Aliassime. Recall that the Canadian easily defeated the Italian in two sets two weeks ago, and earlier he defeated Sony with a score of 2:0 on the grass of Hamburg. In case of victory over Sonego in the third round, Feliks will face Zverev, and then if the German folds, most likely with Rublev, well, if all goes well for the favourites. These guys are clearly stronger than Lorenzo, you can see that after a long game against Cressy Auger-Aliassime, it would be nice not to waste extra energy on the Italian, but to keep fresh in the higher stages. We offer the following betting options for the upcoming match:

The main prediction is an exact score of 0:2 for 1.90