Total below 2.5

After the resumption of the season, Hertha lost 6 out of 8 games with a total score of 3:21, and at home only defeated Augsburg (2:0) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (4:1). This led to an increase in the probability of exiting and hitting the common zone to 49.1% (according to Opta).

The team’s performance as second number led to a decline in offensive potential. In terms of expected threat (xT = 1.14), Hertha is the worst in the Bundesliga. At the same time, it is not always possible to withstand the opponent’s attack with a low block, on average, the “old lady” allows 1.6 expected goals per match.

“Mainz” after a long winter break came back better prepared than their opponents. In 8 rounds, he scored 5 wins with 1 draw and only Union Berlin (1:2) and Borussia Dortmund (1:2) managed to stop the “carnival”.

On average, they generate 1.36xg per match, with 1.44xg allowed. However, this is enough to take 7th place in the table after 23 rounds.

Top scorer – Onishivo (8+3) may miss the upcoming match.

Both teams operate mostly as second number, preferring to wait for the best moment to launch an overwhelming attack. I think the match will end with minimal chances.