Bayern leads their league but are tied with Borussia Dortmund on points, ahead of them on goal difference.
Aside from the odd defeat to Borussia Mönchengladbach (2-3) on February 18, Julian Naggelsman has managed to get out of the mini-crisis that gripped the club after the winter break.
In terms of the expected number of goals scored (xg = 2.17) and conceded (xga = 0.98), it is the absolute leader of the Bundesliga.
In the first meeting at the Parc des Princes, the Bavarians did not easily achieve a minimum advantage, winning 1:0.
PSG has set itself the goal of winning the Champions League for several seasons in a row. The team does not feel competitive in the domestic championship, and its squad is a head ahead of any Ligue 1 club.
The absence of Kylian Mbappé played a big role in the first meeting. The talented Frenchman could enter the field only in the 57th minute. His departure turned the tide of the game, which was reflected in the expected rate of created threats xT. In the last 20 minutes, “Paris” dominated the field and could easily equalize.
Neymar (13+11) will not play in the upcoming match, but Mbappe is ready and will most likely be able to contribute.
In the first match, Benjamin Pavard almost neutralized Messi, he will miss this match because of the red card, which will make it much easier for the Argentine to play.
I assume the Mbappe effect and Pavard’s absence will play a key role in this matchup.