Stuttgart to win or draw
Eintracht Frankfurt claim they will be promoted to the Champions League zone after the Bundesliga ends. At the moment, the team is on the 6th place in the table, losing 3 points to the leading quartet.
Since the season resumed, the Eagles have lost every away game, averaging just 0.52 xg. At the same time, they look noticeably better in their field, generating 1.8 xg.
However, it should be remembered that Eintracht is forced to save energy before the return match against Napoli in the 1/8 finals of the Champions League.
Stuttgart have picked up 19 points after 23 matches and are forced to fight for survival. In order to get the club out of the relegation zone by the end of the season, a new coach was invited – Bruno Labbadia, who specializes in saving teams.
In the last 6 rounds, the Swabians lost 5 times, beating only Cologne (3:0). At the same time, only defeats against Bayern (1:2) and Freiburg (1:2) can be considered deserved.
Apart from that, Freiburg had relatively good luck in this match, having scored two penalties in their favour.
I think in these circumstances Stuttgart is able to fight for points. Eintracht is not very balanced in their game, because in terms of acceptable expected threat (xTA = 1.45 – 6th place from the bottom) they play at the level of Werder Bremen.